Accounting Conservatism and Corporate Governance
Accounting
Conservatism and Corporate Governance
Juan Manuel GarcĂa Lara
Universidad
Carlos III de Madrid
Beatriz GarcĂa Osma
Universidad
AutĂłnoma de Madrid
Lancaster
University
Fernando Penalva*
IESE
Business School, University of Navarra
September 2005
*
Corresponding author. IESE Business School, University of Navarra, Av. Pearson,
21, 08034 Barcelona, Spain. E-mail: penalva@iese.edu. Tel. (+34) 93 253 4200,
Fax. (+34) 93 253 4343.
We appreciate the comments
and suggestions from Antonio Davila, Joachim Gassen, Christian Leuz, Flora
Muino, Ivana Raonic, William Rees and from seminar participants at the EAA 2005
Annual Meeting, ACCID 2005 Annual Conference, University of Alicante, and IESE
Business School.
Accounting
Conservatism and Corporate Governance
Abstract
Accounting
conservatism produces earnings that reflect bad news faster than good news. We
study whether firms with strong corporate governance exhibit a higher degree of
accounting conservatism. We assess governance quality using a composite measure
that incorporates several governance characteristics. We find that the
sensitivity of earnings to bad news is significantly higher (lower) for strong
(weak) governance firms. We also study the impact of managerial discretion on
the sensitivity of earnings to bad news across governance structures. We show
that good governed firms do not use abnormal accruals opportunistically.
Rather, they use them to keep investors informed about bad news in a very
timely manner.
Keywords: Conservatism, corporate governance quality,
managerial discretion.
Data
Availability: Data are available from
the sources identified in the paper.
1. Introduction
Conservatism in
accounting imposes stronger verification requirements for the recognition of
gains than for losses, and produces earnings that reflect bad news in a
timelier fashion than good news. Explanations for the existence of conservatism
posit that it benefits the users of financial reports, as it increases firm
value by constraining management’s opportunistic payments to themselves or
other parties. The increase in value is then shared among all parties to the
firm, increasing their welfare (Watts, 2003a). Given that conservatism
increases firm value by reducing agency and litigations costs, managers of good
governed firms are expected to comply with accounting regulatory frameworks and
choose accounting procedures that delay good news recognition in earnings and
capture bad news in a very timely basis.
As developed in
Watts (2003a), the contracting and litigation explanations for the existence of
conservatism stem from the fact that the different parties to the firm have
asymmetric information, asymmetric payoffs, limited liability and different
time horizons. Conservatism produces accounting numbers that can be used in
contracts among the different parties to reduce the moral hazard problems
created by these asymmetries. In addition, conservative accounting, on average,
defers earnings and generates lower net assets, which are more likely to reduce
expected litigation costs for the firm than overstatement of net assets and
cumulative earnings.
Corporate
governance plays an important role in the implementation of conservatism.
Governance is the set of mechanisms in place (1) to ensure that the assets of
the firm are used efficiently and (2) to prevent the inappropriate distribution
of the assets to managers or to other parties at the expense of the rest of
stakeholders. Hence, strong governance results in better monitoring of
management, produces more timely accounting information, accelerates the
recognition of bad news to provide the board of directors with early-warning
signals to investigate the reasons for the bad news, and reduces the likelihood
of incurring litigation costs. Conservative choices result in all these
beneficial outcomes, which leads us to the main prediction of this paper.
We propose that
firms with strong corporate governance will exhibit a higher degree of
accounting conservatism. That is, we expect that the sensitivity of earnings to
bad news will be higher for firms with strong corporate governance than for
firms with weak governance. To measure the quality of corporate governance, we
develop a composite index that takes into account the exposure to the market
for corporate control through antitakeover measures and several characteristics
of the functioning of the board of directors, after controlling for the
economic determinants of governance.
Using a large
sample of US firms during the period 1992-2003, we find that firms with low
(high) antitakeover protection and where the CEO has a low (high) influence on
governance decisions exhibit a higher (lower) degree of accounting
conservatism. That is, the earnings of potentially better-governed firms are
significantly timelier in recognizing bad news than the earnings of firms with
more antitakeover protection and where the CEO has more influence on governance
decisions. We also study the impact of earnings management on the timeliness of
earnings to bad news across governance structures. Using several accruals
models, we decompose reported earnings into a discretionary part and a
nondiscretionary part. We find that the increase in accounting conservatism in
strong governance firms is driven by the discretionary component of reported
earnings. However, we do not find a significant difference in the sensitivity
of unmanaged earnings to bad news between strong and weak governance firms.
This evidence is consistent with governance determining the use of accruals to
accelerate the recognition of bad news in earnings. Finally, given the evidence
in Bushman et al. (2004) who find that
the informativeness of earnings is associated with governance structures, we
try to shed some light on whether governance influences conservatism or vice versa. Our results are consistent
with the direction of causality flowing from governance to conservatism.
There is no
previous in depth research on the association between accounting conservatism
and governance. Only the work by Beekes et
al. (2004) for the UK is in a similar line. They examine the link between
accounting quality, measured by earnings timeliness and earnings conservatism,
and the proportion of outside directors on the board. Their results indicate
that firms with a higher proportion of outside directors are more likely to
recognize bad news in earnings on a timely basis. Our research differs from
Beekes et al. in several dimensions.
First, we use a more complete proxy to measure the level of governance, taking
into account several external and internal governance provisions. It is
important to do so because both types of governance have a complementarity
effect (Cremers and Nair, 2005). Second, we control for the economic
determinants of governance and focus on what could be described as
discretionary, endogenous or idiosyncratic governance1. Third, we
examine how managers use accruals to communicate good and bad news across firms
with different governance quality. Fourth, we take into account the firms’
investment opportunity sets in assessing the difference in asymmetric
timeliness across governance structures; otherwise, variation in asymmetric
timeliness may simply indicate variation in investment opportunities rather
than variation in conservatism (Roychowdhury and Watts, 2004). And fifth, we
investigate whether governance influences conservatism or vice versa.
The rest of the
paper is organized as follows. Section 2 discuses the impact of corporate
governance and develops a metric of governance quality. Section 3 contains the
research design, describing the measurement of conservatism and the estimation
of discretionary accruals. Section 4 introduces the sample and presents summary
univariate statistics. Section 5 analyzes the results: the difference in
conservatism across governance structures, the influence of earnings discretion
on conservatism across governance structures, the influence of the investment
opportunity set on the level of conservatism, and the assessment of whether
governance affects conservatism or vice
versa. Section 6 concludes.
2. Corporate
Governance
2.1 Governance structure
Corporate
governance is a combination of external and internal mechanisms. Takeover
provisions and the market for corporate control are part of the first group,
whereas the board of directors and the presence of blockholders make up the
second group. Both types of external and internal governance mechanisms are
required for the well-functioning of the firm as they have a complementary
effect. Jensen (1993) states that internal governance mechanisms are
insufficient to achieve appropriate governance without the presence of the
market for corporate control. Recent research indicates that external
governance reinforces internal governance and vice versa (Cremers and Nair, 2005).
Governance
design, through mechanisms such as corporate governance provisions (which
include antitakeover protection mechanisms like poison pills or golden
parachutes), and board of directors’ characteristics, determines the power of
stakeholders vis-Ă -vis management. The literature on corporate governance
provides mounting evidence on how governance structures are associated to firm
performance and how the distribution of power affects the allocation of rents.
Cremers and Nair (2005) show that firms with high takeover vulnerability and
with large blockholders, a proxy for strong internal governance, generate
abnormal returns of 10% to 15%. Core et
al. (1999) find that board of directors’ characteristics associated with
weak governance —including CEO holding the chairman position, board size,
directors appointed by the CEO, gray outside directors, old directors, and busy
directors— are correlated with higher levels of CEO compensation after
controlling for economic determinants of compensation; moreover, they find that
predicted excess compensation, based on the governance structure of the firm,
is negatively correlated with stock returns one, three and five years ahead.
Various arguments support these
findings. The most cited one is to attribute them to an increase in agency
costs associated with weak governance. Agency costs appear because of the lack
of alignment among the interests of the different parties to the firm, which
seek to maximize their own welfare instead of the value of the firm. These
costs translate, among other things, into lower operational performance, excess
rents to managers in the form of compensation, excess distributions to
shareholders at the expense of bondholders, and are consistent with the
existence of inefficient contracts. Contracts written using conservative
accounting numbers contribute to reduce agency costs. Thus, we expect that strong
governance structures will tend to favor accounting conservatism more than weak
governance structures.
2.2 Measurement of governance quality
In Section 2.2.1, we develop a
measure of unconditional total governance that incorporates attributes of
internal and external governance. In Section 2.2.2, we take into account the
economic determinants of governance and build a measure of idiosyncratic
governance.
2.2.1 Measurement of unconditional governance
quality
We measure the quality of
unconditional governance using an approach similar to the one in Bertrand and
Mullainathan (2001). Specifically, we develop a composite governance variable (Totgov) that incorporates the level of
antitakeover protection (external governance) and several characteristics of
the board’s structure (internal governance). This variable combines the
following four governance proxies:
(a)
We use as an external governance proxy the
takeover protection index developed by
Gompers et al.
(2003). Their index can be interpreted as a measure of shareholders’
rights and, as Cremers and Nair
(2005), also as a measure of takeover vulnerability. Using data compiled by the
Investors Responsibility Research Center (IRRC) and state takeover law data,
Gompers et al. construct an index for
each sample firm by adding one point for every provision that reduces takeover
vulnerability.2 Higher values of this index are associated with more
protection against takeovers. Cremers and Nair (2005) also use a narrower
alternative takeover index that only accounts for the three components of the
IRRC data that are critical to takeovers. They report that their results do not
change and conclude that there are no systematic biases in the Gompers et al. index, and that it can be
correctly interpreted as a measure of takeover protection.
(b)
The Gompers et
al. index does not capture information on internal governance, such as
board characteristics. Hermalin and Weisbach (1998, 2003) argue that the main
factor affecting board’s effectiveness is its independence from the CEO.
Expanding this argument, we include an indicator variable that takes on the
value of one if the CEO is also the chairman of the board and zero otherwise.
The CEO has more influence on governance when the same person holds the CEO and
chairman titles.
(c)
Previous research finds that independent
directors positively influence board decisions. Weisbach (1988) shows that the
presence of outside directors is positively related to CEO removal decisions.
Byrd and Hickman (1992) find that bidding firms on which independent outside
directors hold at least 50% of the seats have significantly higher
announcement-date abnormal returns than other bidders. As a second proxy for
internal governance, we include the proportion of top executives that serve on
the board. Higher proportions of executives on the board are associated with
higher CEO influence on governance.
(d)
Finally, Adams (2000) and Vafeas (1999) suggest
that the number of board meetings is a good proxy for the directors’ monitoring
effort. We include the inverse of this variable, where a higher value is
associated with lower board effectiveness.
Following Bertrand and Mullainathan
(2001), we define the composite governance variable (Totgov) by taking the unweighted average of the standardized
variables.3 The standardization is performed to take into account
the different scales of the variables that make up the composite measure.
Higher values of Totgov are expected
to be associated with governance structures with higher antitakeover protection
and high CEO influence on board decisions. For brevity, we refer to these
structures as weak governance. Conversely, governance structures with low
antitakeover protection and low CEO involvement in board decisions are referred
to as strong governance. This is the meaning that we attach to weak and strong
governance throughout the paper.
2.2.2 Measurement of idiosyncratic governance
Governance quality is partly
determined by factors that do not reflect management’s choices. We focus on the
idiosyncratic component of corporate governance. Predetermined firm
characteristics, such as industry sector, growth opportunities, risk, etc.,
will lead to widespread adoption of certain governance provisions across
similar firms. However, managers enjoy wide discretion as to how to implement
and enforce these provisions, and whether to use others. In this sense,
previous studies that analyze governance using these predetermined economic
factors are only able to explain a reduced percentage of the total governance
quality (Ashbaugh et al., 2004;
Bushman et al., 2004). We adopt the
view that the quality of governance structures should be analyzed leaving aside
these predetermined economic factors. To exclude these factors from our measure
of corporate governance quality and create a measure of idiosyncratic
governance, we develop a model of hypothesized economic determinants of
governance. Based on the findings of previous literature, we predict that
governance will be partly determined by the following variables:
(a)
Size.
Larger firms are more complex and place higher demands on governance
structures. Demsetz and Lehn (1985) find that size is significantly associated
with ownership concentration. We measure size as the three-year average of the
natural logarithm of the market value of equity, measured at the end of the
fiscal year, Log(market value of equity),
and predict a negative association with our proxy for unconditional governance,
Totgov.
(b)
Growth
opportunities. Previous research documents an association between growth
opportunities and governance. Following Smith and Watts (1992), our (inverse)
proxy for growth is the three-year average of the annual book-to-market value
of assets ratio, measured at the fiscal year end, Book-to-market. The market value of assets is defined as the market
value of equity plus the book value of liabilities.
(c)
Firm age.
We hypothesize that firm age is related to governance structure. Following
Bushman et al. (2004), our proxy is
the natural logarithm of the firm’s age at the end of the fiscal year, Log(firm age), measured as the number of
years the firm has been public.
(d)
Free cash
flow problem. High free cash flow poses a problem for firms with low growth
opportunities, because managers may invest excess cash in negative net present
value projects or engage in empire-building acquisitions. Jensen (1986)
suggests that governance structures can mitigate this agency problem. Following
Lang et al. (1991), our proxy to
capture this determinant of option incentives, Free cash flow problem, is the three-year average of [(operating
cash flow minus preferred and common dividends)/total assets] if the
book-to-market ratio is greater than or equal to one; and zero otherwise. Firms
with book-to-market ratios greater than one are expected to have low growth
opportunities. The free cash flow problem demands better governance; therefore,
we expect to find a negative association between Free cash flow problem and Totgov.
(e)
Idiosyncratic
risk. Demsetz and Lehn (1985) suggest that the amount of noise in the
firm’s operating environment is expected to increase the costs of direct
monitoring, which in turn, increases the demands on governance structures.
These costs are expected to grow at a decreasing rate with the difficulty in
monitoring. Hence, we use the logarithmic transformation of the firm’s
idiosyncratic risk. Idiosyncratic Risk
is defined as the natural logarithm of the standard deviation of the residual
return from a
36-month market model regression of
the firm’s monthly returns on the returns to the CRSP value-weighted market
portfolio, imposing a minimum of 12 observations. We predict a negative
association between Idiosyncratic risk
and our proxy for unconditional governance, Totgov.
(f)
Leverage.
Cremers and Nair (2005) find that internal and external governance mechanisms
are stronger complements in firms with low leverage, because higher debt
reduces the probability of a takeover, making the target less attractive to the
prospective acquirer. This fact reduces the governance usefulness of
antitakeover mechanisms. Our proxy for leverage is the ratio of short and long
term debt to total common shareholders equity, and we expect to find a positive
association between Leverage and Totgov as higher leverage requires lower
antitakeover protection.
(g)
Industry
concentration and geographic
concentration. Bushman et al.
(2004) argue that organizational complexity increases with industry and
geographic diversification. These authors hypothesize and find that the
complexity associated with diversification causes costly governance responses,
because the inherent additional managerial difficulties generated by more
complex firms place higher demands on the governance structures. To control for
the level of diversification, we employ the same proxies used by Bushman et al. (2004). Industry concentration is defined as the three-year average of the
sum of the squares of the firm sales in each industry segment divided by total
firm sales. Geographic concentration
is defined as the three-year average of the sum of squares of the firm sales in
each geographic segment divided by total firm sales. Higher values of these two
proxies indicate more industry/geographic concentration. These proxies are
inverse measures of
diversification;
therefore, we expect to find a positive association with Totgov.
(h)
CEO
tenure. Hermalin (2005) develops a model in which a trend towards more
board diligence leads to shorter CEO tenures. Bushman et al. (2004) find that the number of years the CEO has been a
director is positively associated with the presence of more inside directors in
the board. Hermalin and Weisbach (1988) find that board independence declines
over the course of the CEO’s tenure. We hypothesize that the number of years
the CEO has been in office, CEO tenure,
is another determinant of governance as longer tenures increase the likelihood
of having more insiders in the board. We predict a positive association between
CEO tenure and Totgov.
(i)
Earnings
timeliness. Bushman et al. (2004)
find that the informativeness of earnings is associated with governance
structures. They argue that firms operating in less transparent accounting
environments will try to balance the lower quality of the accounting numbers by
placing more demands on the governance structures. However, they are unable to
establish the direction of the causality, as they cannot rule out the
possibility of governance affecting the quality of accounting information. We
use their measurement of earnings timeliness as a control variable. Earnings timeliness is the average of
the variables Rank_REV_SLOPE, Rank_REV_R2 and
Rank_ERC_R2
as described in Bushman et al.:
equation (2) below is estimated annually for each firm using a time series of
ten years (with a minimum of eight years) where R (return) is defined as 15-month (ending three months after fiscal
year end) stock return; the percentile ranking of the estimated coefficient β2
is referred to as Rank_REV_SLOPE. The percentile ranking of the R2
of the previous regressions is referred to as Rank_REV_R2. The percentile
ranking of the R2, referred to as Rank_ERC_R2, of the firm-specific
regression of 15-month (ending three months after fiscal year end) stock return
on the level of and on the change of earnings before extraordinary items and
discontinued operations deflated by market value of equity at the beginning of
the period. Each regression has ten years of data, with a minimum of eight
years. We predict a positive association between Earnings timeliness and Totgov.
Notice that this proxy is different from Basu’s (1997) measure of conservatism,
namely the asymmetric timeliness of earnings.
(j)
Performance.
Previous research documents the association between certain governance
attributes and past firm performance. Hermalin and Weisbach (1988) find that
the likelihood of independent directors being added to the board increases
following poor firm performance. Similar to Demsetz and Lehn (1985), to control
for past firm performance we use the three-year stock return measured as the
continuously compounded monthly CRSP return over 36 months, ending at fiscal
year end.
(k)
Regulation.
The additional monitoring provided by regulators may systematically affect the
governance characteristics of firms operating in regulated environments.
Following Demsetz and Lehn (1985) and Bushman et al. (2004), we include an indicator variable that takes on the
value of one if the firm is a utility, and zero otherwise. As explained below,
we do not control for financial firms because our sample excludes these firms.
We estimate annually the
following cross-sectional model of the economic determinants of governance:
Totgov t = α1 Log(market value of equity) t-1
+ α2 Book-to-market t-1
+
α3 Log(firm age) t-1
+ α4 Free cash flow
problem t-1
+
α5 Idiosynchratic risk t-1
+ α6 Leverage t-1
+
α7 Industry concentration t-1
+ α8 Geographic
concentration t-1
+
α9 CEO tenure t
+ α10 Earnings timeliness t-1
+ α11 Performance t-1
+ α12 Regulation + α13 Constant + ε t
(1)
Finally, we define our composite
idiosyncratic governance variable (Totgov*)
as the firm-year residuals from equation (1) and use Totgov* as our proxy for the level of governance after
controlling for firm characteristics. These residuals capture the variation in
governance orthogonal to firm characteristics. This is, variation unaccounted
for by these characteristics. Notice that in the model, CEO tenure is measured contemporaneously to Totgov. The reason is to avoid losing one year of observations as CEO tenure is only available as of 1992.
The results are not affected by this choice.
Firms with low (high) values of Totgov* are those that, with
respect to their peers, have low (high) antitakeover protection and low (high)
CEO involvement in board decisions, which we refer to as firms with strong
(weak) idiosyncratic governance. Differences in the quality of governance
across firms with similar characteristics and contracting environments are
explained by (1) economic determinants only influencing governance structures.
The governance structure is largely determined endogenously by the firm; and
(2) the fact that governance is sticky and changes occur slowly. It takes time
to put in place, modify or remove antitakeover provisions, or to alter the
composition and functioning of the board of directors. Firm characteristics and
the contracting environment can change at a fast rate whereas governance
structures are adapted at a slower pace and respond with a certain lag to the
new demands.
3. Research Design
3.1 Measurement of conservatism
We adopt Basu’s (1997) measure of
conservatism. Under conservative accounting, earnings capture bad news faster
than good news, because of the asymmetric standards of verification of losses
and gains. Basu uses stock returns to proxy for good or bad news. Stock prices
incorporate all the information arriving to the market from multiple sources,
including reported earnings, in a timely fashion. Therefore, stock price
changes are a measure of news arrival during the period. Because earnings are
timelier in recognizing bad news than good news, Basu expects to find a higher
association of earnings with negative returns (his bad news proxy) than with
positive returns (the good news proxy). We use Basu’s regression as follows:
Xt =β0 +β
β β1Dt + 2Rt + 3D Rt t +µt (2)
where Xt is earnings per share before extraordinary items and
discontinued operations deflated by share price at the beginning of the period.
Rt is the stock rate of
return of the firm, measured compounding twelve monthly CRSP stock returns
ending the last day of fiscal year t.4
Dt is a dummy variable
that equals 1 in the case of bad news (negative or zero stock rate of return)
and 0 in the case of good news (positive stock rate of return). The coefficient
β3 measures the level of asymmetric timeliness—the level of
conservatism—and it is expected to be positive and significant.
In our first set of tests, using (Totgov*), we perform several
partitions of the sample to compare whether there are significant differences
across governance groups. We hypothesize and find that the asymmetric
timeliness coefficient β3 is significantly higher for firms with
strong governance. In our partitions, we also control for differences in the
investment opportunity set. It is important to do so, because variation in the
investment opportunity set may cause variation in asymmetric timeliness not
related to differences in conservatism, as pointed out by Roychowdhury and
Watts (2004). Following these authors, our proxy for the investment opportunity
set is the ratio of market-to-book value of equity (MTB) measured at the end of the fiscal year. The aim of our tests
is not to estimate precisely the level of conservatism but to assess whether
there are significant differences in conservatism across governance structures,
after controlling for the investment opportunity set. The market-tobook ratio
is also a potential proxy for conservatism in the balance sheet, this is,
understatement of net assets due to the non-recognition of intangible assets or
to the use of historical cost. According to Pope and Walker (2003) and Beaver
and Ryan (2005), firms with a greater understatement of assets are likely to
have a less pronounced asymmetric timeliness of earnings, as they are
anticipating bad news. Conservatism in the balance sheet is no more than an
extreme form of conservatism in earnings. Bearing this in mind, it is prudent
to control for the understatement of assets so that comparisons across
partitions of firms with strong and weak corporate governance are not
influenced by balance sheet conservatism.
In a second set of tests, we investigate the
reason for the observed differences in asymmetric timeliness. Extant research
on corporate governance finds that firms with weak corporate governance
structures engage in more earnings manipulation, that is, they have lower
quality earnings and accruals (e.g. Dechow et
al., 1996; Becker et al., 1998;
Peasnell et al., 2001; Klein, 2002).
However, Bowen et al. (2004) find
that, on average, variation across governance structures in the use of
discretionary accruals is not driven by opportunistic reasons; rather, accruals
are used as a signaling device to convey information to the market. This is
consistent with managers using discretionary accruals to make accounting
information more relevant, aligning earnings and returns (Guay et al., 1996). Based on these findings,
we hypothesize that stronger governance structures provide managers with
incentives to make more conservative accounting choices by using discretionary
accruals. To test this prediction, we run equation (2) taking into account the
possible effect of earnings discretion on asymmetric timeliness.
To disentangle the effects of
earnings discretion and conservatism, we start from the simple accounting
equality that earnings equal cash flows plus total accruals (Xt = CFOt + TACCt).
Cash flows are expected to capture news symmetrically. Thus, accountants will
use accruals to make earnings timelier.5 Accruals can be further
decomposed into nondiscretionary (normal) and discretionary (abnormal)
components. Several discretionary accruals models are used in the literature
and there is currently much debate on the appropriateness of the different
methods. It is beyond the scope of this paper to enter this controversy. We
estimate discretionary accruals using four different methodologies as a
robustness check. In this way, we expect to minimize the likelihood of our
results being driven by the particular choice of discretionary accruals
estimation method.
3.2 Estimation of discretionary accruals
To obtain the expected accruals model
for all firms in each industry j for
year t, we use the modified Jones
(1991) model defined by Dechow et al.
(1995). We delete industry-year combinations with less than six observations.
We estimate the following model crosssectionally for all remaining
industry-year combinations (in parenthesis, we provide the Compustat data
items):
TACC j t, ⎡ 1 ⎤ ⎡∆REVj t, ⎤ ⎡PPEj t, ⎤
=αj t, ⎢ ⎥+βj t, ⎢ ⎥+Îłj t, ⎢ ⎥+εj t, (3)
TAj t, −1 ⎢⎣TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦ ⎢⎣
TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦ ⎢⎣
TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦
where TACC are total accruals, calculated as the difference between net
income before extraordinary items and cash flows from operations (Compustat
item #18 - Compustat item #308).6 TA are total assets (Compustat item #6), ∆REV is the change in net sales (Compustat item #12), and PPE is
gross property, plant and equipment (Compustat item #7).
TACC j t, ⎛ ⎢⎡ 1 ⎥⎤+βˆ
j t, ⎡⎢∆REVj t, −∆ARj t, ⎥⎤+γˆj t, ⎢⎡PPEj t, ⎥⎤⎞⎟⎟
DAXt = TAj t, −1 −⎜⎜⎝αˆ
j t, ⎢⎣TAj t, −1 ⎦⎥ ⎣⎢ TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦ ⎢⎣ TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦⎠
|
(4)
|
Next, for
each firm i, we calculate its
discretionary accruals as:
where αˆ,βγˆ, ˆ are the
fitted coefficients from equation (3) and ∆AR
is the change in accounts receivable (Compustat item #2). From this model we
obtain our first discretionary accrual proxy (DAX1).
As current research indicates that
management has the most discretion over current accruals, and that manipulation
of long-term accruals is unlikely due to its high visibility (Becker et al., 1998; Young, 1999), we define a
second measure of discretionary accruals using a measure of current accruals
manipulation:
WCAj t, ⎡ 1 ⎤ ⎡∆REVj t, ⎤
=αj t, ⎢ ⎥+βj t, ⎢ ⎥+εj t, (5)
TAj t, −1 ⎢⎣TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦ ⎢⎣
TAj t, −1 ⎥⎦
where WCA are working capital accruals, calculated as net income before
extraordinary items (Compustat item #123) plus depreciation and amortization
(Compustat item #125) minus operating cash flows (Compustat item #308). Using
the parameter estimates from equation (5) we calculate discretionary (abnormal)
working capital accruals (AWCA) as follows:
WCAj,t ⎛⎜αˆ
⎡ 1 ⎤ ⎡∆REV −∆AR ⎤⎞
AWCAj,t = TA ⎜ j,t ⎢⎢TAj,t−1 ⎥⎦⎥+βˆ
j,t ⎣⎢⎢ TAj,t j,t−1 j,t
⎦⎥⎥⎟⎟⎠ (6) − j,t−1 ⎝ ⎣
Our second
measure of discretionary accruals (DAX2)
is the abnormal working capital accruals of each firm obtained from this
equation.
Prior research
recognizes the need to control for the effect of performance in tests of
earnings management (e.g. Teoh et al.,
1998a; 1998b) and to take into account the correlation between cash flows and
accruals (Dechow, 1994). We follow recent literature and calculate
discretionary accruals using the Kasznick (1999) model (DAX3). Finally, we take into account the developments suggested by
Kothari et al. (2002) and adjust our
measures of abnormal accruals using the firms' lagged return-on-assets (lagROA) to obtain our final
discretionary accruals measure (DAX4).
Thus, we obtain
four metrics of discretionary accruals: DAX1
through DAX4. To make these measures
of discretionary accruals consistent with our definition of earnings in
equation (2), we multiply DAX by
lagged total assets and divide it by lagged stock price.
To perform our tests on the
influence of earnings discretion on conservatism across governance structures,
we replace the dependent variable in equation (2) as in GarcĂa Lara et al. (2005), first for a measure of
discretionary accruals (DAXt),
and then, for earnings before discretionary accruals (Xt* = Xt
– DAXt), using our four
alternative DAX measures. If
discretionary accruals are one of the tools used by management to achieve a
higher level of conservatism in strong governance firms, we expect to find
significant differences in the asymmetric timeliness coefficient β3
across governance structures when the dependent variable in the Basu regression
is discretionary accruals (DAXt).
However, we do not expect to observe these differences when the dependent
variable is earnings before discretionary accruals (Xt*).
4. Sample Description
and Estimation of the Governance Model
Accounting data
are taken from the 2003 version of Compustat.
Industry and geographic concentration variables are constructed with segment
data extracted from the Compustat
Business Information File. Market return data are taken from CRSP. Board characteristics and CEO data
come from the 2003 version of Execucomp.
The antitakeover protection index constructed by Gompers et al. (2003) with IRRC
data was downloaded from Andrew Metrick’s web page7. The Execucomp and the IRRC data cover approximately the 1,500 firms that make up the
S&P 500, MidCap and SmallCap indices. We eliminate firms with negative book
value of equity, and firms in the financial sector (SIC 6000-6999) because the
discretionary accrual methods are not appropriate for these firms. To reduce
the adverse effect of outliers, observations in the top or bottom 1% of stock
returns (Rt), deflated
earnings (Xt) and discretionary
accruals (DAXt) are
truncated. In addition, after visual inspection, the variables market-to-book
value of equity (MTB), Leverage, and CEO tenure are winsorized at the top percentile of their
distributions. The intersection of these databases and the additional data
requirements yield a sample that contains 9,209 firm-year observations for the
period 1992-2003, corresponding to 1,623 different firms.
Table 1 contains
descriptive statistics of the data used to estimate the governance model described
in equation (1). In our sample, on average, firms have 9 antitakeover
provisions, the board meets 7 times per year, 32% of the board members are
executives, and the CEO is also the chair of the board 73% of the times. The
average book-to-market value of assets ratio over the sample period is 0.63,
the average size in market-value-of-equity terms is $1,317 million and the
average CEO tenure is close to 8 years. The sample firms exhibit similar
industry and geographic concentration, and the mean annualized market return
for the previous three years is 0.18 (or 0.66 for the three-year period). Table
2 depicts the Pearson correlation matrix of the variables in the governance
model.
Table 3 contains
the estimation of the governance model described in equation (1). We estimate
the model annually to avoid look-ahead bias. With the residuals of the annual
regressions, we construct our proxy for idiosyncratic governance, Totgov*. The table shows the
average estimated coefficients of the annual regressions. The coefficient
estimates are significant in most cases and have the predicted signs. Larger
firms, with low growth opportunities, high free cash flow problem, and high
idiosyncratic risk place more demands on the governance structures (i.e.,
negative association with Totgov). On
the contrary, older firms, with high leverage, high geographic concentration
and longer CEO tenures appear to be associated with less demanding governance
structures. Additionally, regulation seems to positively affect the quality of governance.
To make sure that influential observations in the dependent variable Totgov are not unduly affecting the
coefficients, we also run median regressions, which fit a line through the data
that minimizes the sum of the absolute residuals rather than the sum of the
squares of the residuals as in an ordinary regression. The results are
virtually identical up to the third decimal.
Table 4 contains
the summary statistics of the variables used in our tests of the association
between conservatism and governance. We partition the sample in two groups at
the median of idiosyncratic governance Totgov*.
Observations below (above) the median are those firms with low (high)
antitakeover protection and low (high) CEO involvement in board decisions. For
simplicity, we refer to these two groups as firms with strong and weak
governance, respectively. The summary statistics indicate that, on average,
strong (weak) governance firms have 8 (10) antitakeover provisions, the board
meets 8 (6) times per year, have 26% (38%) of the board made up of executives,
and the CEO is also the chairman of the board 54% (92%) of the times. The
market-to-book ratio of strong governance firms is 3.14 whereas the one of weak
firms is 3.09, although the difference is not statistically significant at
conventional levels. On the contrary, strong firms have lower average deflated
earnings (X) and discretionary
accruals (DAX) than weak firms: 0.033
and 0.003 versus 0.042 and 0.006, respectively. Consistent with the existence
of conservatism in earnings, that is, with the asymmetric timeliness of
earnings, earnings are negatively skewed (medians exceed means). The skewness
exists both for earnings (X) and
earnings before discretionary accruals (X*),
and it is more pronounced in earnings for firms with strong corporate
governance. Table 5 depicts the correlation matrix.
5. Empirical Results
5.1 Difference in conservatism across governance
structures
Table 6 contains the results of the
estimation of equation (2) when we partition the sample at the median of the
total idiosyncratic governance proxy (Totgov*).
The t-statistics reported in all
regressions are based on Huber-White standard errors, which are robust to both
heteroscedasticity and serial correlation (Rogers, 1993).
Table 6 shows
the estimation results using pooled regressions. When the dependent variable is
earnings (X), the asymmetric
timeliness of earnings coefficient β3 provides an estimate of the
level of conservatism. We observe that strong governance firms are more
conservative than weak governance firms (0.15 vs. 0.12). The difference in
conservatism is significant (p-value
= 0.04), thus providing initial support to our hypothesis8. To rule
out the possibility that our results are being influenced by possible
cross-sectional dependence problems, we also use Fama and MacBeth (1973) mean
annual regressions.9 Unreported results confirm our initial
findings. It is worthwhile to mention the large size in the negative returns
coefficient β3 and the small size of the positive returns
coefficient β2. This is consistent with recent evidence (Basu, 1997;
Ball et al., 2000). Interpreting this
evidence, Watts (2003b) concludes that in recent years “US firms’ accounting
earnings are not timely at all in reflecting good news but are timely in
reflecting bad news.” Watts attributes this significant increase in
conservatism to the influence of the Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB), the US standard-setter.
We also measure conservatism using
the metric developed by Penman and Zhang (2002). They construct an index of
conservatism (C-Score) that captures the effect of conservative accounting on
the balance sheet.10 They define the C-Score as the level of
estimated reserves created by conservatism relative to net operating assets.
The C-Score, as other measures of conservatism in the balance sheet (like the
market to book ratio), captures extreme forms of earnings conservatism, where
bad news is not just captured on a very timely basis, but even anticipated.
Unreported results show that the mean (median) C-Score for strong governance
firms is significantly higher than that for weak firms: 0.38 vs. 0.27 (0.08 vs.
0.06). These differences are statistically significant at a confidence level of
0.01.
5.2 Influence of earnings discretion on
conservatism across governance structures
To understand the
reason for the previous findings, we investigate the possible influence of
earnings management on conservatism across governance structures. The two
middle columns in Table 6 show the estimation of equation (2) when the
dependent variable is replaced by an estimate of discretionary accruals (DAX). For parsimony, we only report the
results that use the modified Jones model to estimate discretionary accruals (DAX1). The results are not affected by
the choice of accruals estimation method. The 3rd and 4th
columns of Table 6 show that the difference in conservatism between strong and
weak firms (0.06 versus 0.02) is significant (p-value = 0.05). However, when the dependent variable in the Basu
regression (2) is earnings before discretionary accruals (X*), we do not find any difference in conservatism, as
depicted in the last two columns of Table 6. This evidence is consistent with
strong governance firms using discretionary accruals to report more
conservative earnings than weak firms. The findings in Bowen et al. (2004) also add support to this
interpretation, as they document that, on average, management does not use
discretionary accruals opportunistically, but rather to convey information to
the market.
However, our results could be driven
by our particular choice of sample partition. To reject this possibility, we
also partition the sample using the quartiles of Totgov*. We define the strong (weak) governance firms as
those in the bottom (top) quartile of Totgov*.
Then, we repeat the analyses in Table 6. The unreported results yield the same
inferences.
As a further robustness test, we
modify equation (2) to include the level of total idiosyncratic governance as
follows:
Dep. Vart
= β0 + β1 Dt
+ β2 Totgov*t
+ β3 Rt + β4
Dt Totgov*t + β5 Rt Totgov*t
+
β6 Dt Rt + β7 Dt Rt Totgov*t + ut (7)
where the dependent variable is either
X, DAX or X*. In
this way, we can use all the information in Totgov*
and avoid the possible arbitrariness of particular sample partitions. This
specification presents a further advantage, because it allows to jointly
analyze firms in equilibrium and firms out-of-equilibrium with respect to their
governance structures. Equilibrium firms are those with zero or small values of
Totgov*. For these firms,
we do not expect to find significant differences in conservatism. On the
contrary, we do expect to observe differences in conservatism between strong
and weak governance firms; that is, firms with low and high values of Totgov*, respectively. In
particular, we hypothesize that the asymmetric timeliness coefficient β6
will be positive and significant and that β7 will be negative. Thus,
the total conservatism (β6 + β7) of weak governance firms
will be smaller than that of strong firms, because higher values of Totgov* are associated with
weaker governance.
Table 7 contains the estimation of
equation (7). When the dependent variable is X or DAX, the β6 coefficient
is positive and significant and the β7 coefficient is negative and
also significant. The reduction in conservatism is of, approximately, the same
size as the difference in the β6 coefficients across governance
structures that we report in Table 6. However, when the dependent variable is X*, the coefficient β7
becomes insignificantly different from zero, indicating that there is no
difference in conservatism once discretionary accruals are controlled for.
5.3 Influence of the investment opportunity set
on the level of conservatism
Roychowdhury and Watts (2004) show
that, it is important to control for the investment opportunity set when
estimating the level of asymmetric timeliness. Variation in growth
opportunities can influence the variation in the estimate of asymmetric
timeliness for reasons unrelated to conservatism. To check that our results are
not driven by differences in the investment opportunity set, we repeat all the
tests in Table 6 controlling for the level of the market-to-book ratio (MTB), our proxy for the investment
opportunity set, which can also be understood as a proxy for conservatism in
the balance sheet. Following Roychowdhury and Watts (2004), to perform this
test we introduce MTB into equation
(2) in the following fashion:
Dep. Vart
= β0 + β1 Dt
+ β2 MTBt + β3
Rt + β4 Dt MTBt + β5 Rt
MTBt
+
β6 Dt Rt + β7 Dt Rt MTBt
+ µt
(8)
where the
dependent variable is either X, DAX or X*.
Table 8 shows the estimation
results of equation (8) across governance structures when the sample is
partitioned at the median of Totgov*.
Even after controlling for the investment opportunity set, strong governance
firms exhibit more accounting conservatism than weak firms. When the dependent
variable is earnings (X) the first
two columns of Table 8 indicate that the difference in the asymmetric
timeliness coefficients β6 across governance structures is still
significant at conventional levels, whereas the coefficient β7 that
captures the influence of investment opportunities on asymmetric timeliness is
not significantly different from zero. The same result occurs when the
dependent variable is discretionary accruals (DAX) as shown by the third and fourth column of Table 4. However,
when the dependent variable is earnings before discretionary accruals (X*) we find no difference in
asymmetric timeliness across governance structures even after controlling for
investment opportunities as shown in columns five and six of Table 8. Overall,
the findings in Table 8 confirm that the observed differences in conservatism
across governance structures depicted in Tables 6 and 7 are not driven by
differences in investment opportunities. These results are not unexpected because
the summary statistics in Table 4 show that the mean and median of MTB for strong and weak governance firms
are not significantly different between the two groups.
5.4 Does governance influence conservatism or
vice versa?
Bushman et al. (2004) document an inverse
association between measures of the informativeness of accounting numbers and
governance. In particular, they posit that firms that produce accounting
information of limited transparency place a higher burden in governance
structures in order to overcome this shortcoming. They measure the
informativeness of accounting numbers using earnings timeliness, which they
define as “the extent to which current accounting earnings incorporate current
economic income or valuerelevant information.” They find that past earnings
timeliness is negatively associated with current governance quality. However,
they are unable to rule out the possibility “that governance structures also
influence the properties of accounting numbers through accounting policy choices
and earnings management activities” because their test is a simple association
test that is not informative about the direction of the causation. They
conclude that their proxy for earnings timeliness captures a firm
characteristic over which management has little discretion. This evidence in
Bushman et al. leads us to include
their proxy for earnings timeliness among the explanatory variables in our
governance model (1). Notice that our proxy for conservatism, Basu’s earnings asymmetric timeliness, is different from
the measure of the usefulness of accounting numbers used by Bushman et al. Their measure captures earnings symmetric timeliness.
In our study, we
are implicitly assuming the direction of causation: better governance results
in more conservative accounting choices. Our findings in Section 5.1 document a
positive association between governance and conservatism. This is a necessary condition
but not sufficient to infer the direction of causation. In addition, the
discretionary accruals results in Section 5.2 seem to provide some support for
the hypothesis that governance influences conservatism by providing a plausible
link between the two. Nevertheless, this evidence is clearly insufficient to
draw any meaningful conclusion. To overcome this fact and to try to shed some
light on whether governance influences conservatism or vice versa, we incorporate some dynamic features in our tests in
order to find more evidence consistent with our implicit assumption.
In our first
test, we partition the sample into strong and weak governance firms using Totgov* at different points
in time (from t–3 to t+3). To increase the power of our
tests, we define as strong (weak) governance firms those in the bottom (top)
quartile of Totgov*. Then
we run regression (2) at time t and
compare the asymmetric timeliness coefficients β3 of strong and weak
governance firms. We begin partitioning the sample at time t–3. That is, we look at whether firms that were strong three years
ago exhibit now more accounting conservatism than firms that were weak. The
first two columns of Table 9 show the results when the dependent variable is X. When the sample is partitioned at time
t–3, three years later we observe
that strong governance firms exhibit higher accounting conservatism than weak
firms (β3 = 0.15 vs. 0.08) and the difference is
statistically significant (p-value =
0.02). We obtain the same result when we partition the sample at time t–2: two years later strong governance
firms exhibit more accounting conservatism than weak firms (β3 =
0.18 vs. 0.11) and the difference is statistically significant (p-value = 0.01). If the partition is
done at time t–1, the following year
strong governance firms exhibit higher accounting conservatism than weak firms
(β3 = 0.18 vs. 0.13) and the difference is statistically significant
(p-value = 0.02). The partition at
time t basically reproduces the
results of Table 6: strong governance firms are more conservative than weak
firms. However, when the sample is partitioned at time t+1, the previous year there is no significant difference in the
level of accounting conservatism (β3 = 0.10 vs. 0.09, p-value of the difference = 0.20). The
same occurs when the partition is done at time t+2 or t+3. The firms
that are strong and weak at time t+2 (t+3), do not exhibit significant
differences in conservatism two (three) years before, as shown in Table 9. This
first set of results seems to be consistent with the hypothesis that governance
influences accounting conservatism and not the other way around.
Notice that the
number of observations decreases as we take additional lags or leads because
each lag or lead implies losing one year of observations. The previous findings
could be driven by the significantly different number of observations in the
regressions of each partition (from 1206 at t–3
to 2303 at t, and down to 1290 at t+3).
If we repeat the previous test using the same years for all the partitions
(from 1995 to 2000), the number of observations in all partitions is almost
constant. Unreported results show that the inferences drawn from Table 9 do not
change.
We continue
exploring the robustness of the previous findings by replacing the dependent
variable in equation (2) and using discretionary accruals (DAX) instead of earnings. The third and fourth columns of Table 9
contain the results, which mirror the findings described above. These results
are also consistent with the hypothesis that governance influences accounting
conservatism and that managers use discretionary accruals to affect the level
of conservatism. Finally, when the dependent variable is earnings before
discretionary accruals (X*)
we do not observe statistically significant differences in conservatism across
governance structures regardless of when the partition is made, as depicted in
the last two columns of Table 9.
Inspired by Roychowdhury and Watts
(2004), an alternative way of performing the previous tests and avoid the
possible arbitrariness of the type of partition chosen, is to use all the
information in Totgov*. In
particular, we run regression (7) at time t
but measuring Totgov* at
different points in time (from t–3 to t+3):
Dep. Vart
= β0 + β1 Dt
+ β2 Totgov*t+j
+ β3 Rt + β4
Dt Totgov*t+j + β5 Rt Totgov*t+j
+
β6 Dt Rt + β7 Dt Rt Totgov*t+j + ut (9)
where the subindex j ranges from –3 to +3. The coefficient of interest is β7 that
captures the differential level of conservatism across governance structures.
When the dependent variable is X or DAX, we expect β7 to be
significantly negative if Totgov*
is measured between t–3 and t. This means than when past or current
governance is weak (i.e., high values of Totgov*)
firms exhibit less accounting conservatism. However, when governance is
measured in future periods (t+1 to t+3) we expect to observe no differences
in current accounting conservatism (i.e., β7 not significantly
different from zero). When the dependent variable is X*, we do not expect to observe differences in
conservatism across governance structures regardless of when governance is
measured with respect to current earnings and returns. Table 10 shows the
results of this analysis, which confirm our predictions and add more support
for the hypotheses that governance influences accounting conservatism and that
managers use discretionary accruals to capture bad news faster.
Finally, we perform a third test
using changes in governance. We select a sub-sample of firms that experience an
improvement in governance from time t–1
to time t (i.e., ∆Totgov* < 0). Then, for
the same set of firms, we run regression (2) at time t–1 and at time t and
compare the change in β3. If governance affects accounting
conservatism, we expect to observe an increase in the size of β3.
Panel A in Table 11 shows the results of this test. When the dependent variable
is X, we observe that β3
increases from 0.08 to 0.13 and this change is statistically significant (p-value = 0.00). When the dependent
variable is DAX, β3
increases from 0.01 to 0.05 and the change is still significant (p-value = 0.09). However, when the
dependent variable is X*,
the change in β3 is not significantly different from zero (p-value = 0.38). Again, these results
are consistent with the hypotheses that governance influences accounting
conservatism and that managers use discretionary accruals to accelerate bad
news recognition.
In Panel B of Table 11, we perform
the same test but using a subsample of firms that experience a deterioration of
governance from t–1 to time t (i.e., ∆Totgov* > 0). When the dependent variable is X or DAX,
the change in β3 is not significantly different from zero (pvalue =
0.26 and 0.53, respectively). These results are unexpected and do not allow to
draw any inference on the direction of causation. A possible interpretation is
that the sub-sample of firms with negative changes in Totgov* had “excess” governance and are simply adjusting
their governance structures towards the optimum without changing the level of
conservatism.
As a conclusion,
the three tests performed in this subsection are consistent with the
hypothesized direction of causation from governance to conservatism.
Nevertheless, we stop short from concluding that good governance causes more
accounting conservatism, but if this were the case we should observe results
similar to the ones reported in Tables 9 through 11.
Our findings should not be
interpreted as contradicting the findings of Bushman et al. (2004). On the contrary, we interpret our results as
complementary to those of Bushman et al.
It is plausible that firms with noisier accounting environments beyond the
control of management call for enhanced governance structures and that, at the
same time, better governance leads to increases in accounting conservatism for
those firms with governance structures below the equilibrium level.
6. Conclusions
In this paper we
assess the association between accounting conservatism and corporate
governance. Accounting conservatism produces earnings that reflect bad news
faster than good news. In particular, we investigate whether firms with strong
corporate governance exhibit a higher degree of accounting conservatism, than
firms with weak governance. Our proxy for the level of accounting conservatism
is Basu’s (1997) asymmetric timeliness of earnings measure.
We assess the
quality of corporate governance using a composite measure that incorporates the
level of antitakeover protection and level of CEO involvement in the decisions
of the board of directors. Our governance proxy incorporates mechanisms of
external and internal governance of the firm. It is important to include both
as they have a complementary effect: external governance reinforces the
effectiveness of internal governance, and vice
versa. In addition, we control for the economic determinants of governance
and use an idiosyncratic measure of governance quality. Using a large sample of
US firms during the period 1992-2003, we find that the asymmetric timeliness of
earnings is significantly higher for firms with low antitakeover protection and
low CEO involvement in board decisions. This result is robust to controlling
for the investment opportunity set, as it has been shown that differences in
asymmetric timeliness can be driven by differences in growth opportunities
unrelated to conservatism (Roychowdhury and Watts, 2004).
To further
investigate the reason why strong governance structures seem to induce more
accounting conservatism, we also study the impact of earnings management on the
sensitivity of earnings to bad news across governance structures. Using several
accruals models, we decompose reported earnings into a discretionary part and a
non-discretionary part. We find that the increase in accounting conservatism in
strong governance firms is driven by the discretionary component of reported
earnings. However, we do not find a significant difference in the sensitivity
of unmanaged earnings (defined as earnings before discretionary accruals) to
bad news between strong and weak governance firms. This evidence is consistent
with strong governance firms using accruals to accelerate the recognition of
bad news in earnings. This result also holds after controlling for the
investment opportunity set.
Finally, we
investigate the direction of causality as our previous findings only document a
positive association between governance and accounting conservatism. We find
that past governance is associated with current conservatism but not vice versa, and that firms with
improvements in governance also exhibit increases in conservatism. We do not
dare to conclude that good governance leads to more conservative accounting
numbers, but our last set of results provides evidence consistent with this
hypothesis.
ENDNOTES
1 We use the three terms interchangeably
throughout the paper.
2
Gompers et
al. (2003) examine 24 provisions: anti-greenmail, blank check preferred
stock, business combination laws, bylaw and charter amendment limitations,
classified board, compensation plans with change in control provisions,
director indemnification contracts, control share cash-out laws, cumulative
voting requirements, director’s duties, fair price requirements, golden
parachutes, director indemnification, limitations on director liability,
pension parachutes, poison pills, secret ballot, executive severance agreements,
silver parachutes, special meeting requirements, supermajority requirements,
unequal voting rights and limitations on action by written consent.
3
Like Bertrand and Mullainathan (2001), we use
unit weights to construct Totgov
following the recommendations of Grice and Harris (1998), who find that
unit-weighted composites exhibit better psychometric properties than
alternative weighting schemes.
4 Basu uses the annual stock rate of return
measured from 9 months before fiscal year end t to 3 months after fiscal year end t. However, most subsequent studies have used the fiscal year.
Measuring returns 3 months after fiscal year end is aimed at giving time to the
market to incorporate information in contemporaneous earnings. Using fiscal
year returns avoids returns being distorted by new information (different from
earnings) coming to the market. Our results are not affected by this choice.
5
Managers may also manipulate the timing and
level of cash flows (e.g. Roychowdhury, 2004, Bushee, 1998; Bartov, 1993),
however, due to its low flexibility and high visibility, this is expected to be
a residual form of earnings management (Peasnell et al., 2000).
6
TACC
may be defined also indirectly as (∆CA -
∆CL - ∆Cash + ∆STDEBT - DEPN), where ∆CA
is the change in current assets (Compustat item #4), ∆CL is change in current liabilities (Compustat item #5), ∆Cash is change in cash (Compustat item
#1), ∆STDEBT is change in debt in
current liabilities (Compustat item #34), and DEPN is depreciation and amortization expense (Compustat item #14).
We estimate TACC using this second definition, and recalculate all the models.
Our results are not sensitive to the use of the direct or indirect method to
define total accruals, however, the existing evidence shows that the use of the
indirect method (1) results in different estimations of CFO and TACC, and (2)
creates backing-out problems and biases in the estimation of DAX (Drtina and
Largay, 1985; Hribar and Collins, 2002; Lim and Lustgarten, 2002; Elgers et al., 2003), thus we only report the
results of the direct method.
7
Our data covers
the period 1992-2003. The IRRC data is only available for 1990, 1993, 1995,
1998, 2000, and 2002. Gompers et al.
(2003) report that for the majority of firms there is little time-series
variation in the index. Taking advantage of this fact, like Cremers and Nair
(2005), we align the index values available for 1990 with firm data for 1992,
the index values for 1993 with firm data for 1993 and 1994, the index values
for 1995 with firm data for 1995, 1996 and 1997, the index values for 1998 with
firm data for 1998 and 1999, the index values for 2000 with firm data for 2000
and 2001, and the index values for 2002 with firm data for 2002 and 2003.
8
This result
does not change qualitatively if we partition the sample by Totgov or by the Gompers et al. (2003) antitakeover protection
index.
9
Fama and MacBeth (1973) regressions should be
interpreted with caution. Basu (1999) gives a number of reasons against the use
of mean annual regressions, related mainly to the parameters not being
stationary.
10 We thank Penman and Zhang for providing the
computer code to construct the C-Score.
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